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Thursday, September 17, 2026

Real Estate Sector

In short · mixed

Mortgage rates climbed past 7% alongside rising Treasury yields, while South Florida faces growing local resistance to new real estate developments. Meanwhile, major commercial projects and deals moved forward, including a $3 billion mixed-use approval in Mesa and a large office expansion at One Vanderbilt in New York.

01Macro

US Mortgage Rates Rise Above 7% as Home Sales Decline

Federal bond buybacks failing to suppress long-term Treasury yields demonstrates that fiscal intervention cannot offset inflation-driven discount rates, leaving mortgage lenders unable to price debt cheaply.

pushed above 7% as surging 10-year yields and rising expectations prompted traders to price in an impending . At HousingWire's Mortgage Rates Center, 30-year conforming loans averaged 7.28% after rising 22 over two weeks, while 30-year jumbo loans climbed to 7.47% and Federal Housing Administration loans reached 6.86%. market , fueled by geopolitical turmoil in Iran and climbing oil prices, drove the 10-year Treasury closer to 5%. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent attempted to lower long-term costs through a $6 billion bond program, but the initiative failed to stem the yield rise. CME Group FedWatch data showed that 92% of market participants expected a 25-basis-point rate increase, which would bring the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Higher borrowing costs continued to pressure affordability, with housing data showing demand fading as rates climb.

Mortgage Rates by Loan Type (%)

Conforming and jumbo 30-year loans remain above 7% amid rising yields

30-yr Conf: 7.28%30-yr Jumbo: 7.47%30-yr FHA: 6.86%7.28%7.47%6.86%30-yr Conf30-yr Jumbo30-yr FHA

housingwire.com

02Company specific

Mesa City Council approves $3 billion mixed-use development project

Linking high-density residential and commercial square footage directly to major athletic venue infrastructure shifts suburban mixed-use developments from passive retail hubs into integrated destination anchors.

bisnow.com reports that the Mesa City Council approved a $3 billion development plan for a 197-acre mixed-use project named Legacy Park. Vestar is spearheading the project, which will feature a 600-room luxury resort, thousands of apartment units, a 20-acre park, and an underground pedestrian tunnel linked to the Arizona Athletic Grounds. Full build-out plans also include 3.8 million square feet of Class-A office and corporate space, 2,245 parking spaces, and a 150-room boutique hotel. Construction is scheduled to start next January, with the first phase targeting an October 2029 grand opening.

bisnow.com

03Company specific

CIBC Provides $102 Million Refinancing for SkyREM Industrial Portfolio

Nonrecourse refinancing on fully leased regional logistics portfolios allows industrial sponsors to unlock balance sheet liquidity for new acquisitions without relinquishing existing cash-flowing Sunbelt assets.

Commercialobserver.com reports that real estate investment firm SkyREM secured $101.8 million in nonrecourse financing from CIBC to refinance a 1.9 million-square-foot industrial across the East Coast. The loan carries an initial three-year term alongside two one-year extension . JLL Markets arranged the transaction on behalf of the borrower. The underlying portfolio spans four properties located in Georgia, Florida, and South Carolina, which remain fully occupied by six tenants supporting warehousing, manufacturing, and operations. SkyREM chief executive officer Alexander Dembitzer stated that the capital provides increased flexibility for future .

commercialobserver.com

04Company specific

Greenberg Traurig Expands Office Footprint to 133,000 SF at One Vanderbilt

Law firm expansions at marquee skyscrapers allow commercial landlords to insulate property cash flows from sector-wide hybrid work headwinds by anchoring high-margin professional services tenants.

Commercialobserver.com reports that Greenberg Traurig has expanded its office footprint to 133,365 square feet at SL Green Realty's One Vanderbilt. The law firm signed a 10.5-year lease for 33,477 additional square feet on the entire 33rd floor of the skyscraper. Greenberg originally signed a 15-year lease for four contiguous floors in January 2018. The latest transaction keeps One Vanderbilt fully leased at 100 percent.

commercialobserver.com

05Background

South Florida Real Estate Market Faces Increasing Zoning and Development Resistance

By granting preemptive rights for workforce housing, state legislation converts local zoning battles into single-site developer land grabs that bypass traditional municipal approval hurdles entirely.

commercialobserver.com reports that South Florida real estate is facing a rise in local resistance to development as residents push back against rapid densification. Since 2019, West Palm Beach has completed at least nine towers, with another 10 under construction and nine more approved. In March, about 75 percent of Boca Raton residents voted against a mixed-use redevelopment of the city's downtown government campus proposed by Terra and Frisbie Group. The state's 2023 Live Local Act allows developers to bypass local zoning rules and public hearings for projects that price at least 40 percent of units for individuals earning 120 percent of the area median income. In Miami Beach, Allied Partners utilized the law to file plans for a 38-story tower replacing the Savoy and Arlington Hotels without public hearings before the historic board.

commercialobserver.com

06Company specific

Bugatti Partners on 60-Story Luxury Condo Tower Project in Miami

Licensing automotive brand equity to residential developers generates high-margin royalty revenue while insulating the luxury carmaker from real estate construction and capital expenditure risk.

bisnow.com reports that Bugatti is expanding into the U.S. residential real estate market by partnering on a 60-story condo tower in Miami's Brickell neighborhood. Developers Prosper Group and Versluys Group purchased the site at 75 SW Miami Avenue Road for $50 million in August. The planned Bugatti Residences Miami will feature 183 residences across 300 feet of Miami River frontage. Brandon Haw Architecture is leading the design for the project, while Yabu Pushelberg handles interiors and Rhodium manages butler services. Condo sales are projected to launch during the first half of 2027.

bisnow.com

07Company specific

OriginPoint Appoints Austin Reed as Producing Regional Manager

OriginPoint's aggressive talent poaching from CrossCountry Mortgage reveals how non-bank lenders must weaponize high-producing loan officers to capture Northeast market share amid elevated borrowing costs.

housingwire.com reports that OriginPoint appointed Austin Reed as producing regional manager to serve Greater New England and the Northeast. Reed brings 13 years of lending experience to the role after moving from CrossCountry Mortgage. His past production includes a volume of $109.5 million across 129 units in 2025, alongside $55.5 million across 79 units year to date. Reed plans to expand his team across the Northeast while maintaining his existing client network.

Austin Reed Production Volume ($M)

Production volume reached $109.5 million in 2025.

2025: 109.5YTD: 55.5109.555.52025YTD

housingwire.com

Key takeaway

Robust commercial leasing and massive development approvals contrast sharply with surging borrowing costs and intensifying local zoning pushback. Whether high mortgage rates and community resistance will ultimately derail this steady wave of private capital deployment unresolved.

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